https://www.spencerbaylard.com/portfolio daily 0.75 2023-04-14 https://www.spencerbaylard.com/portfolio/monte-carlo-sp500 monthly 0.5 2023-04-14 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/1642481028220-NUEKSMK1YF07J301JJS6/unsplash-image-Wb63zqJ5gnE.jpg Portfolio - Monte Carlo Simulation of the S&P 500 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/1670629301685-NCPPQ9ODUNJBKA0EJU2P/SP500_Pic5.png Portfolio - Monte Carlo Simulation of the S&P 500 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/1670629309098-20ZI0XTXURZCBHICWH5N/SP500_Pic6.png Portfolio - Monte Carlo Simulation of the S&P 500 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/1670629317891-TVSMTQR5FO0XW4ZPS8FI/SP500_Pic7.png Portfolio - Monte Carlo Simulation of the S&P 500 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/3de96679-3f69-4596-b0f7-48d1f6046275/SP500_Pic8.png Portfolio - Monte Carlo Simulation of the S&P 500 - Make it stand out Using our same formula, we get a scenario in which the S&P 500 is at 4,308 points. Then we copy that formula a thousand times. One can observe that percentages are calculated here as well - which is where much value can be derived from these simulations. We can see that, of course, the S&P 500 is likely to stay within the realm of reason. There is only one out of a thousand scenarios in which it goes over nine thousand points, and only five in which it crashes down to zero (the simulation will make some of these negative, but since that isn’t possible, we count them as zeroes). https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/e7415c75-5b8b-4a43-9cca-cf94ea14bb50/SP500_Pic1.png Portfolio - Monte Carlo Simulation of the S&P 500 - Make it stand out Here we can see the average and standard deviation of the SP500 for the past five years - as well as the percentage changes week-to-week. I have also calculated the average and standard deviation of the percentage changes as well. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/5831ee7f-8629-465c-a45d-ef77c5b8be66/SP500_Pic4.png Portfolio - Monte Carlo Simulation of the S&P 500 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/3e7e908e-345a-40f7-bc8a-52ed1abfbbb0/SP500_Pic9.png Portfolio - Monte Carlo Simulation of the S&P 500 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.spencerbaylard.com/portfolio/spacex-analysis monthly 0.5 2023-04-14 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/3a306b51-8610-4b8a-8a74-2cc4484e8049/SpaceX_NetProfit.png Portfolio - SpaceX Analysis - Make it stand out Again, much of this image is conjecture based on what bits of information are publicly available. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/1642473557011-HUOLYS2B1QWR9MLNGCGB/unsplash-image-Ptd-iTdrCJM.jpg Portfolio - SpaceX Analysis Credit: SpaceX https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/fa76b18d-cfc0-488e-86e3-3ec7f0003abc/SpaceX_Revenue.png Portfolio - SpaceX Analysis - Make it stand out Created in Excel, using data from Trefis https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/1642479678714-DBEE2MNLUWQFJNPXQUQV/unsplash-image-YwSf1o8s79c.jpg Portfolio - SpaceX Analysis - An engineer approached Elon Musk about purchasing a part, called an actuator, with a hefty $120,000 price tag. Musk allegedly replied: "That part is no more complicated than a garage door opener. Your budget is $5,000. Go make it work.” https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/f762d80b-d2ca-494e-9547-c4c9b6bbefb5/SpaceX_NetProfitDataTable.jpg Portfolio - SpaceX Analysis - Make it stand out Highlighted numbers are assumptions. Therefore, this should be taken into consideration. However, assuming even costs, we can estimate the net profit year-over-year. Considering SpaceX is focused on expanding operations, it is worth noting that assumed costs are likely not going to remain stable for some time, even with a focus on cost-cutting. Using the calculated assumptions above, the graph below can be generated. https://www.spencerbaylard.com/portfolio/int-gdp monthly 0.5 2023-04-14 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/01a61e10-5114-4e1d-a6f1-dd5a167bd5a7/US_GDP_Growth.png Portfolio - International GDP Growth - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/ca896abd-2d3a-46f1-a746-e055e082d8e1/GDP2.jpg Portfolio - International GDP Growth - Make it stand out As seen here, GDP per capita ideally increases over time in a given country. The rate of growth varies. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/52cf4722-4ec6-40b1-9a4e-2768cb40a171/GDP_SideBySide.png Portfolio - International GDP Growth - Make it stand out Based on publicly available historical GDP data of the countries in question, we can compare the GDP growth of several countries side-by-side. Now that we can see these differences, the question arises, what causes them? https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/1642475855319-RFJNEIYG1IA9NZRBALFQ/unsplash-image-BAZejJdZ57w.jpg Portfolio - International GDP Growth https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/1642970662072-J5OOY7X7854HHJ3QG7KX/US_Unemployment.png Portfolio - International GDP Growth https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/1642970653070-5BT8KOI5PHNJLT4B0O99/US_Inflation.png Portfolio - International GDP Growth https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/1642970641313-GX0BC1NCL4KGTVJUP7MT/US_GovDebt.png Portfolio - International GDP Growth https://www.spencerbaylard.com/portfolio/category/Critical+Thinking monthly 0.5 https://www.spencerbaylard.com/portfolio/category/Problem+Solving monthly 0.5 https://www.spencerbaylard.com/portfolio/category/Data+Analytics monthly 0.5 https://www.spencerbaylard.com/portfolio/tag/Stocks monthly 0.5 https://www.spencerbaylard.com/portfolio/tag/Executive+Summary monthly 0.5 https://www.spencerbaylard.com/portfolio/tag/S%26P+500 monthly 0.5 https://www.spencerbaylard.com/portfolio/tag/SpaceX monthly 0.5 https://www.spencerbaylard.com/portfolio/tag/Markets monthly 0.5 https://www.spencerbaylard.com/portfolio/tag/Tableau monthly 0.5 https://www.spencerbaylard.com/portfolio/tag/GDP monthly 0.5 https://www.spencerbaylard.com/portfolio/tag/Monte+Carlo monthly 0.5 https://www.spencerbaylard.com/portfolio/tag/Simulation monthly 0.5 https://www.spencerbaylard.com/portfolio/tag/Stock+Market monthly 0.5 https://www.spencerbaylard.com/portfolio/tag/Data+Visualization monthly 0.5 https://www.spencerbaylard.com/portfolio/tag/Microsoft+Excel monthly 0.5 https://www.spencerbaylard.com/portfolio/tag/Predictive+Analytics monthly 0.5 https://www.spencerbaylard.com/home daily 1.0 2022-11-14 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/78a0d759-9ccd-46bc-be69-99ce89531538/IMG-3692.jpg Home https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/1642100913972-A4YDIAUM9BG9HB73T3WD/unsplash-image-Oalh2MojUuk.jpg Home - Business Strategy Knowledge is meant to be used - and not all information is useful. Some data may provide no insights at all, and discerning this has been an ongoing challenge I have readily confronted. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/1642100611853-0W2A5ZANAE49H4ZPANVI/unsplash-image-mcSDtbWXUZU.jpg Home - Analytics Much of my work involves gathering, cleaning, and extraction information from data. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/1642100702203-WSYWZ6B1DXPFQ34YH57C/unsplash-image-RkBTPqPEGDo.jpg Home - Business Process Mapping Combining my skills in business analytics with process analysis. Microsoft Visio is one tool I have experience with in mapping business process flows. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/1642100964140-RYJ9XRUPVVED1IKWNPPK/unsplash-image-unRkg2jH1j0.jpg Home - Data Visualization As seen above, useful information is critical in formulating and executing a plan of action. Presenting said information in a concise and easily digestible manner for management is key, because from these insights, action must be taken. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/13e7e568-71a7-4a17-aa8d-a47c7026ee7d/RCIGM_logo_stacked_RGB-5.png Home Business Analyst Intern, April 2021 - June 2022 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/a5e808af-ba11-4872-802e-41dc250d5a0c/kisspng-pepperdine-university-graduate-management-admissio-5b0e9dd2f264c4.5951543215276845629929.png Home MS in Business Analytics https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/1b1abbfa-15d0-43d6-a354-f7b4cb5fa68b/179-1793720_san-diego-state-university-logo.png Home Bachelor's in Business Administration https://www.spencerbaylard.com/resume daily 0.75 2024-12-12 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/61da3bb7ef818233649dbbd8/3f3e34d6-c1af-4f82-a5cb-eff5158a597a/Spencer+Baylard+Resume+for+Website+Picture.jpg Resume - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference.